yУ@Ƹԇг(ni)ݵڶ£Փ
r(sh)g2014-05-21 09:56:46 ԴyƸԇW(wng)
yУ@Ƹԇг(ni)ݵڶ£Փ
(ni)]yУ@ƸԇгyЌW(xu)(ni)݅R
(ni)
Ҫփ(ni)ݣwϵ(gu)ɡՓİl(f)չˮƽěQՓc(din)ˮƽěQyc(din)
µĿc(din)ҪwϵY(ji)(gu)ʵěQӰʛQأՓʵ҇Ј}
Ҫ̶
~(ʲ)
xc(sh)H(zhn)c؈(bo)
}
1ҪfՓ(dng)ƫՓcJYՓŵՓĮͬ
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1ԇՓˮƽěQ
2ʌһ(jng)(j)(hu)a(chn)ӵӰ?ƼslЩ?
Ŀc(din)~
1xc(sh)Hʣ
xǽsЃr(ji)CȯdϢҲǽЈϵЈʡr(ji)׃(dng)A(y)ں؛HֵӰ
(sh)Hʄtָxr(ji)׃(dng)֮ʣǂ(w)ʹY挍(sh)ɱ
xʺ͌(sh)HʵP(gun)ϵ飺(sh)H=x-ͨ؛Û
2(zhn)ʣָ(dng)ӰʵҲʡ(zhn)ʵ׃(dng)؛ߵҪֶ֮һǸwϵĺ
3c؈(bo)ʣ
Ϣcıʣ@ܜ(zhn)_ͶYһr(sh)ڃ(ni)Cȯr܉(zhn)_һr(sh)ڃ(ni)ͶY˳Cȯܵõָ(bio)ǻ؈(bo)
؈(bo)֧ϢُIr(ji)ٷֱȱʾăr(ji)׃(dng)
4ʺLʣ
ЈϵʷN(j)ɷ֞ʺLָr(sh)gһԃ(ni)ʣҪF(xin)؛Ј;
Lһָr(sh)gһϵҪF(xin)YЈʺLʕ(hu)ͬr(sh)һ㶼L
5(dng)ƫ壺ַQP˹(Keynes trap)(dng)ʘO˂(hu)J(rn)@NʲٽfЃr(ji)CȯЈr(ji)ֻ(hu)r(sh)˂ж؛ŶԸ˕r(sh)؛ˮƽ؛o@NrQ“P˹”“(dng)ƫ”˕r(sh)ʹ؛ŹoҲ(hu)½
Ŀc(din)}
1ҪfՓ(dng)ƫՓcJYՓŵՓĮͬ
(g)ՓǏĹP(gun)ϵʵěQͬW(xu)ɌP(gun)ϵĽጲͬ((g)W(xu)ɵ^c(din)٘)
P˹ՓcŵՓԼc(din)P˹ʿ؛ŬF(xin)ʵěQc(sh)H׃oP(gun)һN؛Փ
(dng)ƫՓcJYՓ֮gą^(q)eǣ
(dng)ƫՓǶ؛Փ(qing){(dio)؛ŹصěQ;JYՓLڌ(sh)HՓ(qing){(dio)(sh)H(jng)(j)׃ʵěQá
(dng)ƫՓе؛ŹǴ;JYՓtע،ijһr(sh)؛Ź׃ķ
(dng)ƫՓҪЈ;JYՓtоc(din)ڌ(sh)HʵLڲ(dng)
һr(dng)ƫՓcJYՓ֮gìܡJYՓ؛Qʵأ(dng)ƫՓͬҲ܉QJYՓʹ׃(dng)ȫأ(dng)ƫՓҲ(hu)ʹ׃(dng)ͬ(dng)ƫՓе؛Ź(gu)˿JYՓһ֡
2DfŵՓ(dng)ƫՓĻ^c(din)
(1)ŵՓ
^ŵՓҪ˼飺ͶY̓(ch)ԸľQͶYnj؛ŵSp;(ch)؛ŵĹoSʵӡʾYĹoȕr(sh)ăr(ji)
(2)(dng)ƫՓ
(dng)ƫՓɄP˹һNƫض؛ط؛Փ(j)(dng)ƫՓ؛֣֞ٽ(sh);A(y)SӶSʵ߶p;ͶC(j)ʵĜp(sh)؛MdɱʾYiĺ(sh)Md=M (Y, i)؛Źo׃ȡQ؛ߡ ؛ŹoMSF(xin)Mʺ(sh)؛Ĺ(yng),MS =KY+L(i)؛Źr(sh)Md= MS
3IS-LMģоΛQ?
(jng)(j)W(xu)ҰЈ֞ƷЈ؛ЈISʾʹƷЈĹcM;LMʾ؛ЈĹr(sh)cM;IScLMĽc(din)ͬr(sh)ʹƷЈ؛Јr(sh)cM@c(din)QʞʣQھʺ;֧(g)(jng)(j)(sh)F(xin)˾⡣
4Јϵ׃(dng)?
ЈԷ֞LYЈ(YЈ)ͶYЈ(؛Ј)ڃɂ(g)Јγɲͬˮƽ@ЩYЈBģʲ(dng)(hu)(do)Yڸ(g)Јg(dng)
ٸNͬ͵؛Јϵʕ(hu)ͬr(sh)(dng)?yn)Јc߿Ը(j)׃(dng)׃ԼYa(chn)MϺؓ(f)Y(ji)(gu)N֮gCȯL(fng)U(xin)̶Ⱥ(dng)ԵIJ@IJe
Cȯr(ji)cʳɷԽߣCȯr(ji)Խ;½tCȯr(ji)YЈͶYֹ߲cһ(g)ЈͬCȯxֱӌ(g)ЈB
۟oՓ؛Ј߀YЈDZ(lin)Y(ji)һ?yn)CȯͶYߕ(hu)(j)׃һNCȯһNCȯĶʹʺLͬr(sh)ʵLʡˮƽһ㶼L
5c؈(bo)ʵP(gun)ϵ
һ100ԪֵĂȯƱʞ10%(dng)ُr(ji)ֵһ120Ԫr(ji)tԓȯߵĻ؈(bo)ʞ飺
@һY(ji)ȯĻ؈(bo)ʲһȻԓȯʡЂȯĕr(sh)gtr(sh)gt+1؈(bo)ʿùʽʾ飺
Ŀc(din)Փ}
1ԇՓˮƽěQء
ˮƽоěQʾǶٵĆ}IS-LMģе֪nj(do)ISLM׃(dng)ͬr(sh)ҲӰ׃(dng)
(1)Y߅Ha(chn)Чʡ(P(gun) )
(2)؛Ź
(3)ͨ؛Ûͨ؛ÛʵӰҪF(xin)؛űֵHֵͨͨ؛ÛԽxҲԽߡ
(4)yеNF(xin)
(5)a(chn)ֵ(һP(gun))
(6)ؔ(ci)ߡ
2ʌһ(jng)(j)(hu)a(chn)ӵӰ?ƼslЩ
ǽڻ(dng)еһ(g)Ҫ׃׃ͨ^Ӱ푽JpӰ푽(jng)(j)(dng)׃(jng)(j)(dng)a(chn)ӰwF(xin)飺
(1)cM(fi)̓(ch) (2)cͶY (3)cͨ؛Û
(4)cڙC(j)(gu) (5)c⽛(jng)(j)(dng)
ʌ(jng)(j)Ӱ푼õij̶ȴஔ(dng)IJ@^õİl(f)]ҪǰlƼsʰl(f)]õėlҪ:
(1)һ(jng)(j)^(jng)(j)wĪ(d)Գ̶ԼʵԳ̶ȡ
(2)һЈİl(f)_(d)̶ܷڸЈgѸق(do)(do)Y(dng)ǰ
(3)ʷNĶ,ʛQЈ̶ԼyǷ^{(dio)صĹߵҲ(hu)Ӱõİl(f)]
3Y(ji)҇wƵ׃^Մ?w)㌦҇ЈĸĿ?Ҫ)
P(gun)朽yУ@Ƹԇг(ni)ݵһ£ ؛ŹՓ